Sharp Tool

Hedge Calculator


Calculate the exact hedge stake needed to lock in profit (or minimize loss) on a winning futures or live bet. Useful when your original wager is in a strong position and you want to guarantee a return.

Original Bet

Hedge Bet (Other Side)

Original bet potential payout--
Hedge stake needed (equal profit)--
Guaranteed profit (equal split)--
Guaranteed ROI--

Custom Hedge Stake

If original wins--
If hedge wins--

When to Hedge


Hedging makes sense when:

  • You hold a futures ticket nearing resolution (e.g., Ohio State to win the CFP; they\'re now in the championship game)
  • A parlay is one leg away from cashing and you want to lock in profit
  • A live bet is currently winning by a wide margin and you want to guarantee return
  • You want to reduce variance on a large position even if it lowers expected value

The downside: hedging always reduces expected value compared to letting the original bet ride. The calculator shows you exactly what guaranteed return you\'re trading for the upside of a clean win.

Example: Ohio State Futures


You bet $100 on Ohio State at +500 to win the College Football Playoff. They\'re now in the championship game as a -200 favorite. Your original ticket is worth $500 profit if it cashes; $0 if it loses.

To lock in equal profit either way, you\'d hedge with approximately $200 on the opponent at +170 (or whatever the other side is). Either outcome returns roughly $200 in profit; a guaranteed return regardless of result.

This is the classic use case for hedging: late-stage futures with strong original positions.